ESTADÍSTICA

Ranking de precisión ¿Quién acertó en las elecciones CyL 2026?

Por La Región Leonesa · 17/03/2026

0 comentarios

Compartir Facebook X WhatsApp Telegram Email

Ranking de precisión ¿Quién acertó en las elecciones CyL 2026?

Analizamos las 6 principales encuestadoras del panorama nacional para medir su grado de precisión en las últimas elecciones 2026 a las Cortes autonómicas

Número de Escaños

[custom-html enable_caching="yes"]<div class="container my-5"> <div class="card shadow-sm mb-4"> <div class="card-header border-0 text-white" style="background-color: #911046;"> <h5 class="mb-0 text-white">Sondeo Sigma Dos vs Realidad</h5> </div> <div class="card-body"> <div class="table-responsive"> <table class="table align-middle"> <thead> <tr class="table-light"> <th>Partido</th> <th class="text-center">Sondeo (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Realidad (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Diferencia</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>PP</strong></td> <td class="text-center">32,5</td> <td class="text-center">31,4</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold">-1,1</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>PSOE</strong></td> <td class="text-center">27,0</td> <td class="text-center">30,0</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold">+3,0</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>VOX</strong></td> <td class="text-center">15,5</td> <td class="text-center">17,6</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold">+2,1</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>UPL</strong></td> <td class="text-center">3,5</td> <td class="text-center">4,3</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold">+0,8</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>Soria ¡YA!</strong></td> <td class="text-center">1,5</td> <td class="text-center">3,1</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold">+1,6</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card border-0 shadow-sm p-4" style="background-color: #f8f9fa;"> <div class="row align-items-center"> <div class="col-md-4 text-center"> <span class="text-muted text-uppercase small fw-bold">Índice de Acierto</span> <div class="display-4 fw-bold" style="color: #911046;">89,6%</div> </div> <div class="col-md-8"> <div class="progress" style="height: 30px; background-color: #e9ecef;"> <div class="progress-bar progress-bar-striped text-white fw-bold" role="progressbar" style="width: 89.6%; background-color: #911046;" aria-valuenow="89.6" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100"> 89,6% </div> </div> <p class="mt-2 mb-0 text-muted small">Grado de puntería del sondeo respecto al escrutinio final del 100%.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>[/custom-html]

[custom-html enable_caching="yes"]<div class="container my-5"> <div class="card shadow-sm mb-4"> <div class="card-header border-0" style="background-color: #911046;"> <h5 class="mb-0 text-white py-1">Sondeo CIS vs Realidad</h5> </div> <div class="card-body p-0"> <div class="table-responsive"> <table class="table align-middle mb-0"> <thead> <tr class="table-light"> <th class="ps-3">Partido</th> <th class="text-center">Sondeo (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Realidad (%)</th> <th class="text-center pe-3">Diferencia</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PP</strong></td> <td class="text-center">33,4</td> <td class="text-center">31,4</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-2,0</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PSOE</strong></td> <td class="text-center">32,3</td> <td class="text-center">30,0</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-2,3</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>VOX</strong></td> <td class="text-center">16,1</td> <td class="text-center">17,6</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+1,5</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>UPL</strong></td> <td class="text-center">4,9</td> <td class="text-center">4,3</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-0,6</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>Soria ¡YA!</strong></td> <td class="text-center">0,7</td> <td class="text-center">3,1</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+2,4</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card border-0 shadow-sm p-4" style="background-color: #f8f9fa;"> <div class="row align-items-center"> <div class="col-md-4 text-center"> <span class="text-muted text-uppercase small fw-bold">Índice de Acierto</span> <div class="display-4 fw-bold" style="color: #911046;">91,2%</div> </div> <div class="col-md-8"> <div class="progress" style="height: 30px; background-color: #e9ecef;"> <div class="progress-bar progress-bar-striped text-white fw-bold" role="progressbar" style="width: 91.2%; background-color: #911046;" aria-valuenow="91.2" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100"> 91,2% </div> </div> <p class="mt-2 mb-0 text-muted small text-start">Grado de puntería del sondeo respecto al escrutinio final del 100%.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>[/custom-html]

[custom-html enable_caching="yes"]<div class="container my-5"> <div class="card shadow-sm mb-4"> <div class="card-header border-0" style="background-color: #911046;"> <h5 class="mb-0 text-white py-1">Sondeo GAD3 vs Realidad</h5> </div> <div class="card-body p-0"> <div class="table-responsive"> <table class="table align-middle mb-0"> <thead> <tr class="table-light"> <th class="ps-3">Partido</th> <th class="text-center">Sondeo (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Realidad (%)</th> <th class="text-center pe-3">Diferencia</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PP</strong></td> <td class="text-center">34,8</td> <td class="text-center">31,4</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-3,4</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PSOE</strong></td> <td class="text-center">28,6</td> <td class="text-center">30,0</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+1,4</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>VOX</strong></td> <td class="text-center">19,5</td> <td class="text-center">17,6</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-1,9</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>UPL</strong></td> <td class="text-center">5,4</td> <td class="text-center">4,3</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-1,1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>Soria ¡YA!</strong></td> <td class="text-center">1,1</td> <td class="text-center">1,6</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+0,5</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card border-0 shadow-sm p-4" style="background-color: #f8f9fa;"> <div class="row align-items-center"> <div class="col-md-4 text-center"> <span class="text-muted text-uppercase small fw-bold">Índice de Acierto</span> <div class="display-4 fw-bold" style="color: #911046;">91,7%</div> </div> <div class="col-md-8"> <div class="progress" style="height: 30px; background-color: #e9ecef;"> <div class="progress-bar progress-bar-striped text-white fw-bold" role="progressbar" style="width: 91.7%; background-color: #911046;" aria-valuenow="91.7" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100"> 91,7% </div> </div> <p class="mt-2 mb-0 text-muted small text-start">Grado de puntería basado en los datos de GAD3 de marzo de 2026.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>[/custom-html]

[custom-html enable_caching="yes"]<div class="container my-5"> <div class="card shadow-sm mb-4"> <div class="card-header border-0" style="background-color: #911046;"> <h5 class="mb-0 text-white py-1">Sondeo SocioMétrica vs Realidad</h5> </div> <div class="card-body p-0"> <div class="table-responsive"> <table class="table align-middle mb-0"> <thead> <tr class="table-light"> <th class="ps-3">Partido</th> <th class="text-center">Sondeo (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Realidad (%)</th> <th class="text-center pe-3">Diferencia</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PP</strong></td> <td class="text-center">31,5</td> <td class="text-center">35,5</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+4,0</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PSOE</strong></td> <td class="text-center">28,2</td> <td class="text-center">30,7</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+2,5</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>VOX</strong></td> <td class="text-center">20,5</td> <td class="text-center">18,9</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-1,6</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>UPL</strong></td> <td class="text-center">5,5</td> <td class="text-center">4,4</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-1,1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>Soria ¡YA!</strong></td> <td class="text-center">1,2</td> <td class="text-center">0,7</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-0,5</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card border-0 shadow-sm p-4" style="background-color: #f8f9fa;"> <div class="row align-items-center"> <div class="col-md-4 text-center"> <span class="text-muted text-uppercase small fw-bold">Índice de Acierto</span> <div class="display-4 fw-bold" style="color: #911046;">90,3%</div> </div> <div class="col-md-8"> <div class="progress" style="height: 30px; background-color: #e9ecef;"> <div class="progress-bar progress-bar-striped text-white fw-bold" role="progressbar" style="width: 90.3%; background-color: #911046;" aria-valuenow="90.3" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100"> 90,3% </div> </div> <p class="mt-2 mb-0 text-muted small text-start">Grado de puntería del sondeo respecto al escrutinio final del 100%.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>[/custom-html]

[custom-html enable_caching="yes"]<div class="container my-5"> <div class="card shadow-sm mb-4"> <div class="card-header border-0" style="background-color: #911046;"> <h5 class="mb-0 text-white py-1">Sondeo Hamalgama Métrica vs Realidad</h5> </div> <div class="card-body p-0"> <div class="table-responsive"> <table class="table align-middle mb-0"> <thead> <tr class="table-light"> <th class="ps-3">Partido</th> <th class="text-center">Sondeo (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Realidad (%)</th> <th class="text-center pe-3">Diferencia</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PP</strong></td> <td class="text-center">33,2</td> <td class="text-center">31,4</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-1,8</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PSOE</strong></td> <td class="text-center">28,1</td> <td class="text-center">30,0</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+1,9</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>VOX</strong></td> <td class="text-center">20,6</td> <td class="text-center">17,6</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-3,0</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>UPL</strong></td> <td class="text-center">5,1</td> <td class="text-center">4,3</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-0,8</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>Soria ¡YA!</strong></td> <td class="text-center">0,9</td> <td class="text-center">1,6</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+0,7</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card border-0 shadow-sm p-4" style="background-color: #f8f9fa;"> <div class="row align-items-center"> <div class="col-md-4 text-center"> <span class="text-muted text-uppercase small fw-bold">Índice de Acierto</span> <div class="display-4 fw-bold" style="color: #911046;">91,8%</div> </div> <div class="col-md-8"> <div class="progress" style="height: 30px; background-color: #e9ecef;"> <div class="progress-bar progress-bar-striped text-white fw-bold" role="progressbar" style="width: 91.8%; background-color: #911046;" aria-valuenow="91.8" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100"> 91,8% </div> </div> <p class="mt-2 mb-0 text-muted small text-start">Grado de puntería del sondeo respecto al escrutinio final del 100%.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>[/custom-html]

[custom-html enable_caching="yes"]<div class="container my-5"> <div class="card shadow-sm mb-4"> <div class="card-header border-0" style="background-color: #911046;"> <h5 class="mb-0 text-white py-1">Sondeo 40dB. vs Realidad</h5> </div> <div class="card-body p-0"> <div class="table-responsive"> <table class="table align-middle mb-0"> <thead> <tr class="table-light"> <th class="ps-3">Partido</th> <th class="text-center">Sondeo (%)</th> <th class="text-center">Realidad (%)</th> <th class="text-center pe-3">Diferencia</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PP</strong></td> <td class="text-center">33,3</td> <td class="text-center">35,5</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+2,2</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>PSOE</strong></td> <td class="text-center">28,4</td> <td class="text-center">30,7</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+2,3</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>VOX</strong></td> <td class="text-center">21,1</td> <td class="text-center">18,9</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-2,2</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>UPL</strong></td> <td class="text-center">3,7</td> <td class="text-center">4,4</td> <td class="text-center text-success fw-bold pe-3">+0,7</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ps-3"><strong>Soria ¡YA!</strong></td> <td class="text-center">1,4</td> <td class="text-center">0,7</td> <td class="text-center text-danger fw-bold pe-3">-0,7</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card border-0 shadow-sm p-4" style="background-color: #f8f9fa;"> <div class="row align-items-center"> <div class="col-md-4 text-center"> <span class="text-muted text-uppercase small fw-bold">Índice de Acierto</span> <div class="display-4 fw-bold" style="color: #911046;">91,9%</div> </div> <div class="col-md-8"> <div class="progress" style="height: 30px; background-color: #e9ecef;"> <div class="progress-bar progress-bar-striped text-white fw-bold" role="progressbar" style="width: 91.9%; background-color: #911046;" aria-valuenow="91.9" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100"> 91,9% </div> </div> <p class="mt-2 mb-0 text-muted small text-start">Grado de puntería del sondeo respecto al escrutinio final del 100%.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>[/custom-html]

Ranking de acierto de las 6 empresas analizadas:

40dB.: 91,9%
Amalgama Métrica: 91,8%
GAD3: 91,7%
CIS: 91,2%
SocioMétrica: 90,3%
Sigma Dos: 89,6%

Etiquetado como

elecciones sondeo 2026 Castilla y León Cortes de Castilla y León

Autor

La Región Leonesa

0 comentarios

Sé el primero en comentar.

¿Tienes algo que decir?

Accede para dejar tu comentario.

Acceder

CULTURA

HISTORIA

TURISMO

CIFRAS

LEONESISMO

LENGUAS

Tienes un bloqueador
de anuncios activo

Ranking de precisión ¿Quién acertó en las elecciones CyL 2026?

Número de Escaños

Ranking de acierto de las 6 empresas analizadas:

0 comentarios

Tienes un bloqueadorde anuncios activo

Ranking de precisión ¿Quién acertó en las elecciones CyL 2026?

Número de Escaños

Ranking de acierto de las 6 empresas analizadas:

0 comentarios

Tienes un bloqueador
de anuncios activo